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2024-12-13 04:31:25

In Saturday's article and this morning's [A-share news], Jun Ge clearly pointed out that the main force to make A-shares last Friday was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, and it was the national team hidden behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF! The reason why the national team chose to enter the arena last Friday is that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has great benefits; The second is to maintain stability and prevent the A-share market from falling sharply during the meeting.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.


It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?Let's go back to the question at the beginning of this article. When the performance of the market and the Growth Enterprise Market is divided, either the market will go up with the Growth Enterprise Market; Either the growth enterprise market dragged the market back to the box structure. Now the answer should be clear!However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.


Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.

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